tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7273127.post110799520988578382..comments2023-12-22T12:00:58.346-05:00Comments on Distinguished Senators: An Unexpected Screed and A Lengthy RedundancyRyanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16205825004111276799noreply@blogger.comBlogger12125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7273127.post-1108061911531849492005-02-10T13:58:00.000-05:002005-02-10T13:58:00.000-05:00You the man, Yuda. Good catch. A friend of mine ...You the man, Yuda. Good catch. A friend of mine suggested that it would be interesting to see how many guys exceeded their 90th percentile PECOTAs. Clemens did, as they admitted today, and I'm pretty sure Wilkerson did as well.Ryanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16205825004111276799noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7273127.post-1108041820451549492005-02-10T08:23:00.000-05:002005-02-10T08:23:00.000-05:00Good point. She didn't stick around long, as I re...Good point. She didn't stick around long, as I recall. She just confirmed it and thanked everyone for being cool about it.Ryanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16205825004111276799noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7273127.post-1108035007222589442005-02-10T06:30:00.000-05:002005-02-10T06:30:00.000-05:00I missed the Twins' breakout predictions, but I gu...I missed the Twins' breakout predictions, but I guess they're still doing that with San Diego. Keep saying it and it'll come true.<br /><br />Goldman, BTW, is still in "Screw Defense" mode. I swear he suggested playing Edgar Martinez in center. Well, not really, but he's lagging behind his compatriots in that area. Dude parties like it's 2000.<br /><br />Kahrl seems pretty up-front about all Ryanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16205825004111276799noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7273127.post-1108015337192427402005-02-10T01:02:00.000-05:002005-02-10T01:02:00.000-05:00She wasn't until recently.
Note the absence of sa...She wasn't until recently.<br /><br />Note the absence of sarcasm.<br /><br />...Not that there's anything wrong with that...Chris Needhamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10455692848328638937noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7273127.post-1108015167437318142005-02-10T00:59:00.000-05:002005-02-10T00:59:00.000-05:00This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.Chris Needhamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10455692848328638937noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7273127.post-1108007581028570542005-02-09T22:53:00.000-05:002005-02-09T22:53:00.000-05:00Yeah... I think that was right after they went thr...Yeah... I think that was right after they went through their "Screw Defense" phase. Remember when the A's had Jaha, Giambi, Stairs and Grieve on the field at the same time? <br /><br />The classic for them though, is the 1998 Yankees essay. They predicted that that was the year that old age would finally catch up to them. They were due to fall off a cliff.<br /><br />Unfortunately for BP, Chris Needhamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10455692848328638937noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7273127.post-1108006011211479702005-02-09T22:26:00.000-05:002005-02-09T22:26:00.000-05:00Nah. The Yankees signed him. He'd probably appro...Nah. The Yankees signed him. He'd probably approve. ;)Chris Needhamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10455692848328638937noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7273127.post-1108005877448538542005-02-09T22:24:00.000-05:002005-02-09T22:24:00.000-05:00Also, Joe Sheehan hates every contract ever signed...Also, Joe Sheehan hates every contract ever signed by anyone. "$75,000 for Babe Ruth? It's too much! GMs are all insane!"Ryanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16205825004111276799noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7273127.post-1108005620673744922005-02-09T22:20:00.000-05:002005-02-09T22:20:00.000-05:00I hope you don't mean 'fix' in a Bob Barkeresque w...I hope you don't mean 'fix' in a Bob Barkeresque way.<br /><br />Yeah, the holier-than-thou attitude and blind obsession towards numbers is definitely obnoxious. (See any MGL post on Primer for a great example.)<br /><br />But, there's not a paying audience for that happy medium, I guess. (See: Limbaugh, Rush; or Franken, Al)Chris Needhamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10455692848328638937noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7273127.post-1108005345734398692005-02-09T22:15:00.000-05:002005-02-09T22:15:00.000-05:00That's a very good description of Kahrl's odd obse...That's a very good description of Kahrl's odd obsession. I'll never know as much as she does about marginal ballplayers, and I'm not sure I'd want to.<br /><br />Oh, I'm not cranky (well, not toward Basil, anyway). I'm just feeling my oats. I enjoy looking at PECOTA and ZIPS and all that - it's a nice diversion. But I really think BP relies too much on it for material, and some of their Ryanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16205825004111276799noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7273127.post-1108004913771212442005-02-09T22:08:00.000-05:002005-02-09T22:08:00.000-05:00Geez. Extra cranky today, are we? Going through ...Geez. Extra cranky today, are we? Going through Dayn-withdrawals? :)<br /><br />I think you're right to a point on the predictions. They're a fun way of assessing how things look, on paper. I would point out though, that Diamond-Mind is traditionally one of the more accurate systems out there. And I think when you're doing something like simming it 1,000 times, some of the 30% even out.Chris Needhamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10455692848328638937noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7273127.post-1108004108137232922005-02-09T21:55:00.000-05:002005-02-09T21:55:00.000-05:00Thanks for the Shandler pointer, and HOW DARE YOU ...Thanks for the Shandler pointer, and HOW DARE YOU POINT OUT MY INCONSISTENCIES!? BP does some things better than others. Chris Kahrl and Steven Goldman: good. Will Carroll and Dayn Perry: bad. And hell, I'm still paying those bastards.Ryanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16205825004111276799noreply@blogger.com